This is not the chances of getting published, but merely an analysis of the stories that were published in the past two years. I looked at total stories published by the market, unique authors, new authors, the sex of the authors, and the likelihood that a story in that publication is a first publication credit and the likelihood that an author in that publication had had their first publications there in the timeframe covered by the analysis. This is all based on 2001 and 2002 data. Basically, I stuck them all in an excel file, and then crossreferenced it against the data at http://www.isfdb.org. I may be overestimating with SH's details because the database doesn't include *any* SH data at all. I did first short-fiction sale only data--no previous fiction sales of any length. (There were only a couple of people who had a novel out the same year but no other short fiction--I excluded them. Conversely, there were about the same number of people who had made previous sales in a different genre, who I did include) There were also multiple stories by new authors in several markets--SH of course, but also Analog and FSF. The authors data at SH was estimated based on the average difference between stories and authors for Asimovs and Analog. Overall is total stories divided by new authors. Authors is total authors divided by new authors.

	total stories	Total authors	new authors	sex ratio(men:women)	overall	authors
Analog	147	102	8	5 :3	1:18	1:13
Asimovs	142	97	3	1:2	1:47	1:32
SH	111	75	39	19:20	1:3	1:2
F&SF	158	96	8	6:2	1:20	1:12
overall	558	370	58	31:27	1:10	1:6

One thing I do notice right away is that despite FSF printing the most stories, they also print the smallest percentage of unique authors. The others range from 65-75%, but FSF is 60%

I'm planning to do the same with ROF and Scifi.com, eventually. If anyone wants to help me out and collect all the titles and authors from them, I'll love you. But if not, I'll do it myself (said the little red hen.) And see if I share with any of you.